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The exploration of global tight sandstone gas and forecast of the development tendency in China

Yang Tao,Zhang Guosheng,Liang Kun,Zheng Min,Guo Bincheng

Strategic Study of CAE 2012, Volume 14, Issue 6,   Pages 64-68

Abstract: The reserve and production of tight sand gas have both experienced rapid growth.The production accounts for 1/5 of China's total nature gas production in 2011, and it is predicted

Keywords： tight sandstone gas     exploration and development     development trend     production forecast    

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A rain-on-snow mixed flood forecast model and its application

Jian WU, Lan LI,

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2009, Volume 3, Issue 4,   Pages 440-444 doi: 10.1007/s11709-009-0051-0

Abstract: A rain-on-snow flood forecast model is developed by combining LL-Ⅰdistributed hydrology model.

Keywords： Xinjiang Autonomous     forecasting     hydrology     temperature     rain-on-snow runoff-generation    

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Forecast method for used number of parts and components based on complex network

LIU Fu-yun, QI Guo-ning, YANG Qing-hai

Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering 2006, Volume 1, Issue 4,   Pages 479-484 doi: 10.1007/s11465-006-0064-5

Abstract: A forecast method for the increment of component numbers and parts based on the increment of productsAs an example, the component numbers of an industrial steam turbine product family is forecasted, forecastresult verified and forecast error analyzed.

Keywords： complex network     industrial     component     analytic expression     forecast    

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Real-time Forecast of Irrigation

Mao Zhi,Li Yuanhua,Li Huichang

Strategic Study of CAE 2002, Volume 4, Issue 5,   Pages 24-33

Abstract:

The real-time forecast of irrigation is one of the essential part of the work for compiling a dynamicThe real-time forecast of water requirements of crops is the essential and difficult part in the real-timeThe methods and models for the conventional forecast of crop water requirement ,applied both in ChinaThey can not used for the real-time forecast.including the real-time forecast of the date and quota of irrigation for both dry food crops fields

Keywords： irrigation     real-time forecast     evapotranspiration     irrigation schedule    

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Forecast Study on Medium and Long Term Energy Demand in Rural Area of China

Deng Keyun,He Liang

Strategic Study of CAE 2000, Volume 2, Issue 7,   Pages 16-21

Abstract:

Rural energy forecast belongs to the category of regional energy forecast.To forecast the demand of energy consumption in rural area of China will be useful for drawing out the

Keywords： rural energy     demand     forecast    

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A method to predict cooling load of large commercial buildings based on weather forecast and internal

Junbao JIA,Jincheng XING,Jihong LING,Ren PENG

Frontiers in Energy 2016, Volume 10, Issue 4,   Pages 459-465 doi: 10.1007/s11708-016-0424-8

Abstract: randomness, this paper presented an air-conditioning cooling load prediction method based on weather forecast

Keywords： commercial building     load prediction     multiple linear regression    

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Study of Forecast of Building Cost Based on Neural Network

Nie Guihua,Liu Pingfeng,He Liu

Strategic Study of CAE 2005, Volume 7, Issue 10,   Pages 56-59

Abstract: It shows the validity of the model in the forecast of construction project budget.

Keywords： BP neural network     building budget     forecast    

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A systems view of the earthquake forecast

Li Shihui

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 132-137

Abstract:

The focal point of this paper is to use the principle and method of systems sciences to prove that the standpoint of the mainstream earthquake scientists is unscientific and unreasonable, namely, the earthquake can't be forecasted essentially, and to prove the opposed standpoint is scientific and reasonable, namely, roughly estimate the range of time and location of the strong shock to a certain degree, and lead masses to know beforehand. To have limited space, this paper further proves the conclusion with only 2 examples only.

Keywords： earthquake forecast     earthquake prediction     complexity     systems sciences     complement each other of Chinese    

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Technical Methods to Make Safety Monitoring and Forecast Models for the Foundation of Long Suspension

Chen Zhijian,Zhou Shizhong ,Zhuo Jiashou

Strategic Study of CAE 2002, Volume 4, Issue 6,   Pages 20-24

Abstract: comprehensive fuzzy evaluation model for slope safety based on external deformation observation results and the forecast

Keywords： layered rock mass     slope     monitoring and forecast model     technical methods    

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Forecast of fire accidents based on Grey-Markov model

Mao Zhanli,ZhuYi,Yang Bozhong,ZhuLei

Strategic Study of CAE 2010, Volume 12, Issue 1,   Pages 98-101

Abstract: The result shows the forecast precision of Grey-Markov model is higher than the forecast precision ofgrey model, the model can satisfy the demand in forecast precision, and it can be used for fire accidentsforecast.

Keywords： Grey model     Markov model     fire accidents     forecast    

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Supply and Demand Analysis, Future Demand Forecast, and Countermeasure Studies for Forage Materials in

Aimin Liu, Panna Jia, Lixin Wang, Liangjie Wu

Strategic Study of CAE 2018, Volume 20, Issue 5,   Pages 39-44 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2018.05.006

Abstract: style="text-align: justify;">With improvement of the living standards, the domestic consumption and production

Keywords： forage materials     supply and demand     forecast     countermeasures    

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Multi-discipline Forecast and Warning Engineering System on Sediment-related Disasters

Yao Xuexiang,Xu Jing

Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 6,   Pages 9-14

Abstract: regressive relationship between the disaster occurrence and rainfall, a meteorological-statistical potential forecastThe forecast has been launched into operation since June 1，2003，when a nationwide sediment-related disastersIn this paper the forecast and warning system is reviewed and some valuable suggestions are presented

Keywords： sediment-related disasters     debris flow     landslide     engineering system for forecast and warning    

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Analysis and Forecast of China’s Total Economy and Its Structure from 2016–2035

Li Ping,Lou Feng and Wang Hongwei

Strategic Study of CAE 2017, Volume 19, Issue 1,   Pages 13-20 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.01.003

Abstract: in the future and their transmission mechanism, in order to construct an economic system model and forecast

Keywords： economic forecast     economic growth     structural analysis     computable general equilibrium    

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Improved R /S Method and Analysis and Forecast to China Fire Data

Fu Yuhua,Fu Anjie

Strategic Study of CAE 2004, Volume 6, Issue 5,   Pages 39-44

Abstract:

This paper discusses some improvements for the R/S analysis method (rescaled range analysis) in engineering and economics and their application. For the analysis of total fire number in China, two new data grouping methods for calculating the Hurst exponent H are presented. The difference of Hurst exponent AH is introduced to judge the possibility whether or not the next year's fire number will be increased suddenly. For the R/S analysis of the calculated Hurst exponents, a new group of Hurst exponent H1,i. e. , Hurst exponent of Hurst exponent, and related △H1, can be reached, the rest high order Hurst exponent and related difference H2, △H2, H3, △H3 and the like may be deduced by analogy. According to the fire numbers from 1950〜1999, the fire number of year 2000 is forecasted with R/S method.

Keywords： R/S analysis     rescaled range analysis     high order Hurst exponent     total fire number of whole country     forecast    

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RBF-ANN-Based forecast method of transmutation of wall rock on multi-arch tunne

Xiao Zhiwang,Zhong Denghua

Strategic Study of CAE 2008, Volume 10, Issue 7,   Pages 77-81

Abstract: According to the characteristics of feed forward neural network of radial basis function to construct the forecast

Keywords： multi-arch tunnel     deformation of wall rock     deformation forecast     radial basis function (RBF)     artificial    

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Title Author Date Type Operation

The exploration of global tight sandstone gas and forecast of the development tendency in China

Yang Tao,Zhang Guosheng,Liang Kun,Zheng Min,Guo Bincheng

Journal Article

A rain-on-snow mixed flood forecast model and its application

Jian WU, Lan LI,

Journal Article

Forecast method for used number of parts and components based on complex network

LIU Fu-yun, QI Guo-ning, YANG Qing-hai

Journal Article

Real-time Forecast of Irrigation

Mao Zhi,Li Yuanhua,Li Huichang

Journal Article

Forecast Study on Medium and Long Term Energy Demand in Rural Area of China

Deng Keyun,He Liang

Journal Article

A method to predict cooling load of large commercial buildings based on weather forecast and internal

Junbao JIA,Jincheng XING,Jihong LING,Ren PENG

Journal Article

Study of Forecast of Building Cost Based on Neural Network

Nie Guihua,Liu Pingfeng,He Liu

Journal Article

A systems view of the earthquake forecast

Li Shihui

Journal Article

Technical Methods to Make Safety Monitoring and Forecast Models for the Foundation of Long Suspension

Chen Zhijian,Zhou Shizhong ,Zhuo Jiashou

Journal Article

Forecast of fire accidents based on Grey-Markov model

Mao Zhanli,ZhuYi,Yang Bozhong,ZhuLei

Journal Article

Supply and Demand Analysis, Future Demand Forecast, and Countermeasure Studies for Forage Materials in

Aimin Liu, Panna Jia, Lixin Wang, Liangjie Wu

Journal Article

Multi-discipline Forecast and Warning Engineering System on Sediment-related Disasters

Yao Xuexiang,Xu Jing

Journal Article

Analysis and Forecast of China’s Total Economy and Its Structure from 2016–2035

Li Ping,Lou Feng and Wang Hongwei

Journal Article

Improved R /S Method and Analysis and Forecast to China Fire Data

Fu Yuhua,Fu Anjie

Journal Article

RBF-ANN-Based forecast method of transmutation of wall rock on multi-arch tunne

Xiao Zhiwang,Zhong Denghua

Journal Article